You resign, and suddenly the raise that was impossible last quarter appears in an afternoon. It feels like leverage. It's usually a receipt — proof of what they could have paid you all along, produced only under threat of loss.
The reasons you started looking rarely change with the number on your paycheck. Scope, manager, growth, recognition — a counter-offer addresses none of them, which is why most people who accept one restart their search within a year, now with a flight risk label attached.
That label is real. Promotion lists and layoff lists are both drawn up with loyalty in mind, and you've just disclosed yours has a price.
If you're going to entertain a counter anyway, negotiate the thing that made you leave, not the salary. If they couldn't fix it before your resignation, be honest about the odds they'll fix it after.
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